Wednesday, 4 April 2018

MARKETS ON WEDNESDAY: Sensex ends 352 pts lower as trade war fears escalate

Markets erased their morning gains to end lower taking cues from their key global counterparts that slipped on the back of increased fears of a full-scale global trade war.Markets erased their morning gains to end lower taking cues from their key global counterparts that slipped on the back of increased fears of a full-scale global trade war.
The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 33,019, down 352 points while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,120, down 125 points.
On Wednesday, China condemned the United States as the Trump administration pushed ahead with plans to slap tariffs on about $50 billion of Chinese industrial and hi-tech products, and vowed imminent countermeasures in the escalating trade dispute.
The US government has unveiled a detailed breakdown of some 1,300 Chinese industrial, transport and medical goods that could be subject to 25 percent duties, ranging from light-emitting diodes to chemicals and machine parts.
Japan's Nikkei 225 closed higher by 0.13 per cent, or 27.26 points, at 21,319.55 amid choppy trade. The broader Topix edged up by 0.14 per cent. Automakers were higher on the back of strong US auto sales reported overnight, with Toyota edging up by 0.13 per cent, while bank stocks came under pressure.Investors are also awaiting decision on monetary policy by Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The central bank is expected to keep monetary policy steady at its April meeting but shift to a hawkish stance by the end of this year and raise interest rates early in 2019 as inflation pressures build
in other news, Rainfall during the monsoon season is expected to be 100 per cent of the long-term average, a private weather forecasting agency Skymet said earlier in the day, raising prospects of higher farm and economic growth in the $2 trillion economy.
(with Reuters inputs)
CATCH ALL THE LIVE UPDATES03:48 PMNifty Metal index falls 2.57%. Top losers:
COMPANY LATEST PREV CLOSE LOSS() LOSS(%)JINDAL STEEL 219.60 229.40 -9.80 -4.27S A I L 72.30 74.95 -2.65 -3.54HINDALCO INDS. 200.80 207.95 -7.15 -3.44TATA STEEL 560.55 579.70 -19.15 -3.30VEDANTA 274.30 283.20 -8.90 -3.1403:38 PMSectoral Trend
03:35 PMBSE Sensex: Tata Motors gains 3.5% while Tata Steel loses 3.5%
03:32 PMMarket at close The S&P BSE Sensex ended at 33,019, down 352 points while the broader Nifty50 index settled at 10,120, down 125 points.03:15 PMV-Mart Retail hits new high; stock zooms 60% in two months post Q3 results
V-Mart Retail hit a new high of Rs 2,325, up 20% on the BSE in intra-day trade, in otherwise weak market. In past two months, post October-December quarter (Q3FY18) results, the stock zoomed 60% from Rs 1,450 on February 2, as compared to 6% decline in the S&P BSE Sensex. During Q3FY18, V-Mart reported an increase in revenue from operations by 13% to Rs 3,680 million, EBITDA by 30% to Rs 640 million, and net profit by 27% to Rs 367 million over the corresponding period last year. Same store sales growth (SSG) for the quarter remained flat over a high base of 17% in Q3FY17. READ MORE
02:57 PMTata Motors jumps after strong JLR India sales Tata Motors rose 4.35% to Rs 358.30 on BSE on reports Jaguar Land Rover India reported strong sales in the year ended March 2018. On the BSE, 12.56 lakh shares were traded in the counter so far compared with average daily volumes of 5.08 lakh shares in the past two weeks. The stock had hit a high of Rs 363.45 and a low of Rs 346.10 so far during the day.02:54 PMMarket Snapshot (Image source: NSE)

02:33 PMMetal index slips; SAIL, JSPL, top losers
COMPANY LATEST PREV CLOSE LOSS() LOSS(%) VOLUMES A I L 72.85 74.90 -2.05 -2.74 1252657JINDAL STEEL 224.20 229.65 -5.45 -2.37 613389HINDALCO INDS. 203.10 207.75 -4.65 -2.24 634428TATA STEEL 567.60 579.50 -11.90 -2.05 943479NMDC 116.30 118.70 -2.40 -2.02 22895602:20 PMBSE launches arbitrage rate index in a S&P Dow Jones Indices joint venture
Asia Index, a joint venture between S&P Dow Jones Indices and BSE, has launched arbitrage rate index. The S&P BSE Arbitrage Rate Index will equally weigh long positions in the Sensex and equivalent short positions in the futures contracts, Asia Index CEO Alka Banerjee said in a statement. READ MORE
02:01 PMMarket Check
 S&P BSE Sensex 33,083.58 Up -0.86% Nifty 50 10,143.15 Up -0.99% S&P BSE 200 4,467.48 Up -0.84% Nifty 500 8,989.75 Up -0.94% S&P BSE Mid-Cap 16,245.05 Up -0.55% S&P BSE Small-Cap 17,500.84 Up -0.72%01:45 PMVakrangee locked lower circuit for eight straight day; falls 34% in 8 days
Shares of Vakrangee locked in lower circuit for the eight straight trading days, down 5% at Rs 190 on the BSE with no buyers were seen on the counter. At 12:44 pm; there were pending sell orders for a combined 12.34 million shares representing 1.1% of total equity of Vakrangee on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and BSE, the exchange data shows. READ MORE01:35 PMTOP BSE500 LOSERS
COMPANY LATEST PREV CLOSE LOSS() LOSS(%) VOLUMEHEG 2895.20 3191.65 -296.45 -9.29 211407GRAPHITE INDIA 721.55 759.50 -37.95 -5.00 269934PHILLIPS CARBON 1138.80 1198.70 -59.90 -5.00 73391VAKRANGEE 189.65 199.60 -9.95 -4.98 15252BOMBAY BURMAH 1229.95 1292.50 -62.55 -4.84 2133801:29 PMChina vows countermeasures as U.S. issues extensive tariff list
China condemned the United States on Wednesday as the Trump administration pushed ahead with plans to slap tariffs on about $50 billion of Chinese industrial and hi-tech products, and vowed imminent countermeasures in the escalating trade dispute. READ MORE01:27 PMStock: Kansai Nerolac
(Source: HDFC Securities)
01:25 PMSector watch: Power
The thermal sector continued to witness severe coal shortage, with 28 plants facing sub-critical level of coal inventory (highest ever in past three years). The early onset of summer has further led to a spike in power demand, which is further increasing demand for coal and its high usage. With monsoon being below par in FY18, the water levels at key reservoirs are much lower on yoy basis, leading to lower hydro power generation. This is putting further pressure on the thermal segment, resulting in low coal inventory across stations and consequently rise in spot power prices (+22% yoy in Mar'18).
With the summer season yet to peak and insufficient rake availability for coal supply, we believe that the spot power prices will climb further, which would benefit idle and merchant players like JSW Energy, KSK Energy and Rattan India. Also, power traders like PTC India could benefit from this demand-supply mismatch in the coming quarters.​
(Source: Emkay Global)
01:24 PMMonetary Policy expectation by Madan Sabnavis, Chief Economist, CARE Ratings
The first bi-monthly monetary policy review for FY19 is to be announced by the RBI on 5th April 2018. We expect status quo in policy stance. The policy review is in the backdrop of higher economic growth, moderation in inflation, increase in bank credit growth, lower bank deposits growth, tight liquidity conditions and increasing GSec yields in FY18. Prospects of interest rate hikes by US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England will also limit the chances of RBI going in for a rate cut01:10 PMSebi's F&O restrictions likely to boost dabba trading in Indian markets
The decision of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) to tighten the derivatives framework could provide an impetus to ‘dabba trading’ — an unofficial parallel market. READ MORE01:05 PMAkzo Nobel India gains 6% on share buyback plan
Akzo Nobel India has rallied 6% to Rs 1,911 on the BSE in intra-day trade on Wednesday after the company said its board of directors are scheduled to meet on Friday, April 06, 2018, to consider proposal to buy-back its own shares. The primary objective of a share buyback programme is to arrest the fall in the value of a stock by reducing the supply of the stock, which essentially pushes up the share price through a better P/E multiple. The other objective is to improve earnings per share (since the same dividend amount is now distributed among fewer shares). READ MORE
12:49 PMMishra Dhatu Nigam lists 3% below issue price
Mishra Dhatu Nigam (MDNL) has made a weak debut by listing at Rs 87, a 3.3% lower against issue price of Rs 90 on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and the BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange). However, the stock moved higher to Rs 90.90 after its listing. READ MORE12:32 PMExperts see up to 15% growth in auto index in FY19; Maruti, M&M top picks
The automobile sector, which witnessed a healthy sales growth in the previous financial year (FY18) led by higher demand from rural markets and the fast growing SUV segment, should continue to do well in the new fiscal year (FY19) as well. READ MORE
12:21 PMNEWS ALERT Infosys Q4FY18 results
Infosys Limited (NSE, BSE, NYSE: INFY), a global leader in consulting, technology, outsourcing and next-generation services, will announce the results for its fourth quarter and year ended March 31, 2018 on Friday, April 13, 2018 around 4.00 p.m. Indian Standard Time (IST)
12:08 PMMARKET COMMENT Saurabh Mukherjea, CEO, Ambit Capital
Official estimates which suggest very low unemployment rate in India can often be misleading. An analysis of the labour force participation rate suggests that employment fell after demonetisation and GST. The average value for the labour participation rate in FY17 was 44.3% and this dropped to 41.6% in FY18 with the age groups of 15-19 and 20-24 being the most badly hit. A region-wise analysis also suggests that labour force participation fell sharply in areas where there were healthy participation rates prior to demonetisation. Our findings suggest that the NDA will aggressively promote spending on food subsidies between now and the General Elections. That makes FMCG companies which have a strong rural footprint much more likely to post superior FY19 results compared to FY18
Saurabh Mukherjea, Chief executive officer, Ambit Capital Saurabh Mukherjea, Chief executive officer, Ambit Capital12:00 PMMarkets at Noon
Index Current Pt. Change % Change S&P BSE SENSEX 33,413.46 +42.83 +0.13 S&P BSE SENSEX 50 10,722.82 +7.32 +0.07 S&P BSE SENSEX Next 50 33,820.08 +36.94 +0.11 S&P BSE 100 10,663.44 +7.98 +0.07 S&P BSE Bharat 22 Index 3,486.85 -8.75 -0.25
(Source: BSE)12:00 PMMARKET COMMENT
Having seen a sign of earnings recovery in 3QFY18 after the transitory impacts of GST/DeMo, we believe 4QFY18 earnings to be crucial for sustaining market valuations. Based on our interactions with the industry and channel checks with different stakeholders, we believe that corporate earnings are unlikely to surprise negatively barring Banking sector, where risk of higher provisioning is there due to change in NPA recognition norms. Low base, improving capacity utilisations, pick-up in infrastructure development activities and improving rural consumption are likely to aid 4QFY18 earnings, in our view.
(Source: Reliance Securities)11:56 AMAxis Direct on Infosys
Infosys is trading at discount to its historical average. We believe as the management team stabilises, with key focus on execution of strategic initiatives undertaken by the team along with continued focus on regaining market share, Infosys is in early stage of rerating cycle. We expect growth recovery to be led by BFSI, Energy, and Telecom verticals wherein large deal wins, client mining, and wallet share gain have improved revenue visibility.

11:54 AMSharekhan on BEL
BEL is expected to witness cost pressures in FY2019E, attributed to the recent wage revision (completed for officer grade employees) and enhancement in gratuityceiling. The wage revision is pending for non-officer grade employees, which is likely to be done in FY2019. Further, the increase in civil contracts work to 17-18% in FY2019E from usual 12-13% would impact margins.
We have assumed operating margin of 19% in FY2019 and 20% in FY2020E. Further, reduction in cash balance owing to buyback programme (would lead to lower other income) and increased tax rate would impact overall profitability11:54 AMHDFC Securities on Dabur
Dabur has witnessed many challenges in its business during the last two years, on account of slow rural demand (~45% of domestic), disruption owing to Patanjali, greater impact of demonetisation than other peers owing to high wholesale dependence and weak international business. As a result, Dabur’s consolidated revenue declined average ~2% during the eight quarters. Better revenue growth, stable inflation and a favourable product mix would expand the EBITDA margin by ~200bps over FY18E-20E.11:53 AMReliance Securities on NBCC
NBCC continues to be a robust growth story owing to its PWO status and niche presence in redevelopment of government’s old colonies. Notably, order book stands at Rs800bn (13.2x TTM revenue) and offers unmatched growth visibility, going ahead. Its key redevelopment projects i.e. Pragati Maidan (Rs25bn), NaurojiNagar (Rs30bn) and Maharashtra Irrigation (Rs10bn) projects were started, which will start contributing to revenue from current quarter. We maintain our fundamental BUY rating on the stock with a Target Price of Rs 29511:51 AMMARKET COMMENT
India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has revised its FY19 economic growth forecast to 7.4% from 7.1% earlier. From the production side, higher growth in agriculture (expectation of normal rainfall and assumption of even rainfall distribution over space and time) and industrial sectors is expected to push the overall economic growth. From the expenditure side, the boost is expected to come from both private and government expenditure coupled with green shoots emerging in investment spending. However, the economy is facing a number of headwinds, ranging from the non-performing assets of the banking system and elevated bond yields to increased trade protectionism and tightening global financial conditions.11:50 AMGlobal Indices
INDEX DATE LATEST PREV CLOSE CHG(PTS) CHG(%)SWISS MARKET 03-04-2018 8630.93 8740.97 -110.04 -1.26SHANGHAI COMPOSITE 03-04-2018 3136.63 3163.18 -26.55 -0.84DAX 03-04-2018 12002.45 12096.73 -94.28 -0.78ATX 03-04-2018 3402.44 3428.53 -26.09 -0.76TAIWAN WEIGHTED 03-04-2018 10821.53 10888.27 -66.74 -0.61STRAITS TIMES 03-04-2018 3412.15 3430.76 -18.61 -0.54CLICK HERE FOR MORE INDICES

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