Showing posts with label Election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Election. Show all posts

Friday, 25 September 2020

Bihar elections LIVE: 3-phased polling from October 28, result on Nov 10

 The Election Commission on Friday announced that the Bihar assembly elections 2020 will be held in three phases from October 28 to November 7 as the state takes unprecedented measures to protect voters in the coronavirus pandemic. The results will be declared on November 10.

Bihar assembly election will be one of the biggest elections globally to be held during prevailing coronavirus situation, said Chief Election Commissioner Sunil Arora.

Bihar has 243 Assembly seats. In 2015, the alliance of the Rashtriya Janata Dal, Janata Dal-United and the Congress had swept the polls but JD-U has since aligned with the BJP.

Stay tuned for the latest news of the day.

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01:22 PM 
Bihar Elections 2020: Phase 2
Date of issue of notification: Oct 9
Last date of nomination: Oct 16
Scrutiny of nomination: Oct 17
Last date of withdrawal of candidature: Oct 19
Date of polling: Nov 3
Date of counting: Nov 10
01:22 PM 
Bihar Elections 2020: Phase 1
Date of issue of notification: Oct 1
Last date of nomination: Oct 8
Scrutiny of nomination: Oct 9
Last date of withdrawal of candidature: Oct 12
Date of polling: Oct 28
Date of counting: Nov 10
01:17 PM 
Bihar election 2020: Polling schedule
Phase 1: Oct 28
Phase 2:  Nov 3
Phase 3:  Nov 7
Result: Nov 10
01:10 PM 
Phase 3 of Bihar elections: Polling in 78 constituencies
01:10 PM 
Phase 2 of Bihar elections: Polling in 94 constituencies
01:09 PM 
Phase 1 of Bihar elections: Polling in 71 constituencies
01:08 PM 
Bihar election 2020 will be held in three phases, says Sunil Arora
01:06 PM 
Bihar election 2020: Fewer phases this time
01:04 PM 
Bihar election 2020: Hate speech, fake news will be dealt with severely, says ECI
01:03 PM 
Health protocol to be maintained for Bihar election campaigns, says Sunil Arora, CEC

Saturday, 4 May 2019

Modi's speech in Patan claiming govt kept Pak on toes gets clean chit by EC

The Election Commission Saturday gave a clean chit to Prime Minister Narendra Modi on his Patan speech in which he claimed that his government had kept Pakistan on toes for safe release of IAF pilot Abhinandan Varthaman.
The commission concluded that Modi has not violated the model code or its advisory on armed forces in his speech in Gujarat's Patan city on April 21.

This is the sixth speech of the prime minister which has been cleared by the EC.
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Read our full coverage on Lok Sabha elections 2019

Saturday, 6 October 2018

Five states to see high-stakes poll battle before 2019 Lok Sabha Elections

Five states — Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Mizoram and Telangana — would go to the polls between the second week of November and the first week of December, the Election  Commission announced on Saturday. The counting of votes will take place on December 11.
The Assembly elections will be a precursor to the Lok Sabha polls of 2019, and an indicator of the political temperature, at least in the Hindi belt, which is crucial for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the Amit Shah-led Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP).

In Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh, the BJP has been the ruling party since 2003. Rajasthan, however, had never elected an incumbent government since 1993.
In Telangana, the K Chandrasekhar Rao-led Telangana Rashtra Samiti government had recommended early dissolution of the Assembly. Mizoram is one of three states, along with Punjab and Karnataka, where the Congress is still in power.
The elections come against the backdrop of farmers’ protests in the three northern states, and a demand by the Vishwa Hindu Parishad that the Narendra Modi government bring in an Ordinance for early construction of the Ram temple in Ayodhya.
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ALSO READ: Lok Sabha elections 2019: BJP to contest 20 out of 40 seats in Bihar
The Congress, the principal opposition party in the three north Indian states, suffered a setback with the Bahujan Samaj Party deciding against an alliance in Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh. In Telangana, the Congress has struck an alliance with the Telugu Desam Party and the Communist Party of India.
Assembly elections in Chhattisgarh will be held in two phases on November 12 for 18 seats and November 20 for the rest 72 seats. In 2013, the vote difference between the BJP and Congress was less than 1 per cent. In Madhya Pradesh (230 seats) and Mizoram, elections are to be held on November 28. In Rajasthan and Telangana, elections are on December 7.

Saturday, 3 March 2018

Election results 2018 LIVE: A gym trainer CM for Tripura & BJP gameplan for northeast

Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018: The counting of votes begun on Saturday for Tripura assembly election results 2018, Nagaland assembly election results 2018 and Meghalaya assembly election results 2018. The results for the Northeast Assembly polls 2018 in three states — Meghalaya, Nagaland, and Tripura will be announced later in the afternoon.Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018: The counting of votes begun on Saturday for Tripura assembly election results 2018, Nagaland assembly election results 2018 and Meghalaya assembly election results 2018. The results for the Northeast Assembly polls 2018 in three states — Meghalaya, Nagaland, and Tripura will be announced later in the afternoon.
Early trend shows that BJP is taking a lead in Tripura and may even end Communist Party of India-Marxist (CPI-M) 25-year-rule in the state.
Even in Nagaland assembly elections, Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party (NDPP), which has an alliance with BJP, is giving tough competition to ruling party Naga People's Front (NPF). Congress’ only hope to consolidate its position seems to be Meghalaya assembly elections.
Polling was held for 59 of 60 Assembly seats in each of the three states for different reasons. Tripura Assembly elections 2018 were held on February 18. CATCH ALL THE LIVE UPDATES04:24 PMBJP President Amit Shah spoke to the media. Key highlights of his speech:
In 2014 Narendra Modi Ji had said western side of the nation has developed a lot but the same has not reached the eastern side yet. He immediately started his 'Act East Policy'. I believe this is the victory of his policies, stamped by the 3 states of the northeast.
BJP might have a clear majority in Tripura but we will also include other members of our alliance in the cabinet.
We will march towards Karnataka, with this massive victory with us.
Jahan tak Left ka sawaal hai, ye siddh ho chuka hai ki Left desh ke kisi bhi kshetra ke liye right nahi hai
 ANI✔@ANI#WATCH: BJP President Amit Shah addresses the media https://www.pscp.tv/w/bWpzozFwempNQm9XYmtWRWR8MWt2SnBXd215b29HRU6MIx8ELpFk4MkRmrHbGIEmXd55uLJFCtyJ4197ubn- …
4:12 PM - Mar 3, 2018
ANI @ANI_news#WATCH: BJP President Amit Shah addresses the media
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04:18 PMWe have a clear majority in Meghalaya. We have a setback in Tripura in Nagaland, we will have to work on that, says Congress' Ahmed Patel

04:13 PMPM Narendra Modi has finally spoken on the keenly-watched Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018
Here's what PM Modi said in a series of Tweets:
"Time and again, election after election, the people of India are reposing their faith in the positive and development oriented agenda of the NDA. People do not have the time or respect for negative, disruptive and disconnected politics of any kind."
On Tripura Assembly Elections 2018: 2018 Tripura election will be remembered as an epoch-making one! What my sisters and brothers of Tripura have done is extraordinary. We will leave no stone unturned in transforming Tripura. 2018. The historic victory in Tripura is as much an ideological one. It is a win for democracy over brute force and intimidation. Today peace and non-violence has prevailed over fear. We will provide Tripura the good government that the state deserves
 Narendra Modi✔@narendramodiThe victory of @BJP4Tripura is not an ordinary electoral victory. This journey from ‘Shunya’ to ‘Shikhar’ has been made possible due to a solid development agenda and the strength of our organisation. I bow to every BJP Karyakarta for working assiduously on the ground for years.
3:47 PM - Mar 3, 20184,1582,018 people are talking about thisTwitter Ads info and privacy
On Nagaland Assembly Elections 2018: I assure my sisters and brothers of Nagaland that we will continue to work for the progress and prosperity of Nagaland. I applaud the tireless work of the local BJP unit.
On Meghalaya Assembly Elections 2018: The welfare of Meghalaya is of utmost importance for us. I appreciate the BJP Karyakartas for their continued efforts in the state to serve the people.

04:00 PMPolit Bureau thanks the 45% of the voters who extended support to CPI(M) & Left Front. We assure the people of Tripura that it will continue to champion the cause of all sections of the working people & uphold tribal-non tribal unity: CPI(M)
03:37 PMBJP to go with NPF if no majority with NDPP in Nagaland
Union Minister and BJP leader Kiren Rijiju said on Saturday that if his party's pre-poll alliance with the NDPP in failed reach the half-way mark in the Nagaland assembly, it would have an "understanding" with the ruling NPF to form a new government of the three parties in the state.  "Our chief ministerial candidate is Neiphiu Rio (NDPP leader). But if we do not cross the magic mark, then we will have to have some kind of understanding that the party's leadership will decide," Rijiju said, reported India Today.  Interestingly, the BJP has two ministers in NPF government but had stitched a pre-poll alliance with NDPP. Rijiju said the BJP did not dump the NPF neither has it quit the NPF-led government. He said a seat sharing agreement could not be reached between the BJP and the NPF but such a pact was finalised with the NDPP headed by Neiphiu Rio, one of the founding members of the NPF.03:33 PMLatest trends on Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018
Tripura Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonBJP 28 7Left Front 11 5INC 0 0Others 5 5Nagaland Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonNDPP+BJP 24 6NPF 16 9INC 0 0Others 4 1


Meghalaya Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonINC 9 11NPP 14 5Others 9 9BJP 2 003:27 PMBJP pitches for 'Vaampanth Mukt Bharat'
"In a way, the entire northeast is now with the BJP. Initially, we used to say 'Congress Mukt Bharat' now I think we can say 'Vaampanth Mukt Bharat' also," Ravi Shankar Prasad told ANI.
Prasad also added that the result will affect Kerala politics too and said, "Leftists first lost West Bengal now they have been dethroned from Tripura. This will clearly affect the politics of Kerala."
Ravi Shankar Prasad03:24 PMTripura agriculture minister loses
Tripura Agriculture minister Aghore Debbarma (CPI-M) was defeated by a margin of 6,988 votes by his nearest rival Mevar Kumar Jamatiya of IPFT in Asharambari ST constituency, Election Commission sources said. Aghore Debbarma secured 12,200 votes, while Jamatiya secured 19,188 votes. IPFT's Prashanta Debbarma defeats his CPI-M rival Padma Debbarma by 4,235 votes in Ramchandraghat ST constituency.03:14 PMEast turns Right? 10 takeaways of Tripura, Meghalaya, Nagaland poll results
Tripura: The BJP on its own was ahead in 33 seats, two more than the half-way mark, while its ally was leading in seven. The IPFT has already bagged one seat. BJP's state party President Biplab Kumar Deb (Banamalipur), who could be the next Chief Minister of the state. The Congress, which had 10 members in the outgoing assembly, failed to even open its account this time.
Nagaland: The ruling NPF was leading in 20 and has already won four seats in the 60-member assembly. Interestingly, the BJP, leading in seven seats, has two ministers in the NPF government but had stitched a pre-poll alliance with NDPP that was leading in 14 seats.
Meghalaya: Once a Congress bastion, appeared headed for a government of non-Congress forces. The ruling Congress has won 11 seats and was leading in nine more. In the last elections, it had won 29 seats in the 60-member assembly.
Click here to read more takeaways of Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018
03:08 PMParrikar congratulates Modi, Shah for Tripura win
Goa Chief Minister Manohar Parrikar on Saturday congratulated Prime Minister Narendra Modi and BJP President Amit Shah for the party's victory in Tripura.
 Manohar Parrikar✔@manoharparrikarCongratulations to PM @narendramodi ji, Shri @AmitShah ji, BJP Karyakartas, and the people of North East for the splendid performance of BJP in assembly polls and for the historic victory in Tripura.
2:05 PM - Mar 3, 20184,937907 people are talking about thisTwitter Ads info and privacy03:06 PMNortheast Assembly Election Results 2018 recap > BJP set to end Left Front’s 25-year rule in Tripura  > Congress close to half-way mark in Meghalaya  > NDPP, an ally of BJP, running neck-and-neck with ruling NPF in Nagaland 02:53 PMLatest trends for Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018
Tripura Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonBJP 29 4Left Front 16 2INC 0 0Others 4 4Nagaland Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonNDPP+BJP 30 0NPF 21 4INC 0 0Others 2 3


Meghalaya Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonINC 9 11NPP 14 5Others 9 9BJP 1 1 02:36 PMBJP President Amit Shah arrives at the party headquarters amid celebrations

02:34 PM'NPP to form govt in Meghalaya with help of others'
NPP President Conrad Sangma said his party would be able to form the next government with the help of other like-minded parties.
"We are hopeful that we will be able to form the government. People are fed up with the corrupt Congress government and looking for a change," he told PTI.
After the Assembly elections last year threw hung verdicts in Manipur and Goa, the BJP was able to form the governments there with the help of smaller parties and independents. Facing similar situation, the BJP has asked Assam Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma to rush to Meghalaya for holding talks with smaller parties and independents.02:30 PMTripura Assembly Elections 2018: Apart from Agartala, BJP workers celebrate outside party office in Trivandrum

02:26 PMTripura Left citadel crumbles in saffron storm
For the BJP, apart from its likely first-time victory in Tripura, it was a cause for big celebration, as along with its partner IPFT, it is going to capture another northeastern state after Assam, Manipur, Nagaland (where also results are being counted during the day) and Arunachal Pradesh.  According to the trends, BJP-IPFT alliance might secure 40 seats, nine more than the simple majority figure of 31.

02:21 PMTripura Assembly Elections 2018
The BJP strong showing came as a surprise to many as the party did not even have a councillor in Tripura. It had secured less than two per cent votes in the 2013 Assembly election in the state.
BJP state president Biplab Kumar Deb was leading from Banamlipur seat. The majority mark in the Assembly is 31.
Chief Minister Manik Sarkar was leading over his nearest BJP rival Pratima Bhoumik by over 2,000 votes in Dhanpur constituency.The Congress could not establish a lead in any of the constituencies.
The Left Front had tasted defeat in 1988 Assembly polls at the hands of the Congress-Tripura Upajati Juba Samity combine.   02:06 PMHere's what latest trends show for Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018
Tripura Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonBJP 41 0Left Front 18 0INC 0 0Others 0 1Nagaland Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonNDPP+BJP 31 0NPF 21 4INC 0 0Others 5 0


Meghalaya Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonINC 13 9NPP 13 3Others 11 6BJP 4 001:55 PMMeghalaya saves Congress the blushes, party may now try political courtship, writes Aditi Phadnis
As Rahul Gandhi jetted off to the cooler climes of Italy, he left behind the earthquake in the north east, the decimation of the Congress, near complete.The region that was once awash with blue is now almost entirely saffron. Almost entirely? The Congress’s blushes were saved by Meghalaya where the party staved off anti-incumbency and kept the BJP at bay, possibly because of the role of the Conrad Sangma-led National People’s Party (NPP) which has emerged as the second largest force in the state.
Click here to read more01:52 PMTripura Assembly Elections 2018: BJP thanks PM Modi
The BJP credited the favourable results in Tripura, where the party is leading in majority of seats, to Prime Minister Narendra Modi and people of the state's desire for change.
"The prime minister had addressed four rallies in Tripura. He had worked very hard and continuously monitored our campaigning. The credit must go to him," BJP general secretary Ram Madhav said, reported PTI."People responded very well to our call 'Chalo Paltai' (Let's Change)," he said.
The BJP leader also praised the CPI-M for its "spirited fight" during the election and said but the people wanted a new government.01:41 PMBJP hints post-poll alliance in Meghalaya
As the Congress Party is leading with a low margin in the Meghalaya Assembly election mid-trend, BJP is mulling forging alliance with other political parties.
The Meghalaya in-charge of BJP, Nalin Kohli told ANI that an anti-Congress alliance is possible in the state, given that the National People's Party (NPP), United Democratic Party (UDP), and the BJP — all part of the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) at the Centre — together have an upper hand over the Congress, as per the latest trends.
01:39 PMBJP leader had kicked up a row by reportedly saying that the Tripura chief minister would be sent to Bangladesh after the assembly elections in the state.
"Manik Sarkar has just three options before him. He can go to West Bengal, where the CPI-M still has some presence. He can go to Kerala, where the party is in power and will rule for three more years or he can go to neighbouring Bangladesh," Assam minister Himanta Biswa Sarma said, reported PTI.
01:35 PMBJP co-opts the Congress in Tripura, develops opportunism to a fine art
Prima facie, it can seem that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has been able to achieve its objective of ushering in a Congress-mukt (free) India in the northeast, especially in Tripura, by being in a position to come to power in at least two of the three states which went to the polls last month, according to IANS writer Amulya Ganguli, who is a political analyst. However, such a conclusion will be facile. The reason is that in Tripura, for instance, the BJP has succeeded in coopting virtually all the entire 30-plus per cent support base of the Congress. As a result, it can be said that the BJP in Tripura at present is really the Congress by another name. True, there will be elements in the party who are ideologically close to the BJP, mostly as a result of the groundwork done by the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) in the state. But their numbers cannot be large considering that the BJP's vote share in the last three elections hovered around one per cent while the Congress' voting percentage was consistently above 30 per cent. It is difficult to believe, therefore, that the BJP's jump from zero seats in the state assembly to 40-odd was the outcome of an entirely new party coming into existence.
 01:32 PMHere's what latest trends show for Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018
Tripura Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonBJP 41 0Left Front 18 0INC 0 0Others 0 0Nagaland Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonNDPP+BJP 31 0NPF 23 0INC 0 0Others 5 0


Meghalaya Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonINC 16 0NPP 13 0Others 11 0BJP 4 001:08 PMBJP read the tea leaves right, writes Archis Mohan
More than defeating the Congress, the BJP and Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh (RSS) consider it more important to decimate the CPI (M) and its allies in the left movement. The Tripura victory of the BJP could lead to political violence in the state. Already, there are calls from Sangh Parivar supporters to avenge the death of RSS workers killed in Tripura during the Left rule.
01:03 PMThe BJP Parliamentary Board will meet this evening to decide on the future Chief Minister of Tripura, where the party is likely to form a government, BJP general secretary Ram Madhav said.
The BJP Parliamentary Board comprises Prime Minister Narendra Modi, party chief Amit Shah, Home Minister Rajnath Singh, External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley, Transport Minister Nitin Gadkari besides a few others.
12:53 PMMeghalaya CM wins from both seats
Meghalaya Chief Minister and Congress candidate Mukul Sangma wins from both Ampati and Songsak constituencies, Election Commission sources said.
Sangma, who is the chief minister since 2010, retained Ampati seat defeating his nearest BJP rival Bakul Ch Hajong by over 6,000 votes.
He also won from Songsak constituency defeating his nearest National People's Party rival Nihim D Shira by over 1,300 votes. The BJP was in the third position.
The chief minister's wife Dikkanchi D Shira also won from Mahendraganj seat defeating her nearest BJP rival Premananda Koch by over 6,000 votes, the sources said.12:47 PMMeghalaya Assembly Elections 2018:
Meghalaya PWD minister and Congress candidate Mazel Ampareen Lyngdoh wins from East Shillong constituency defeating her nearest BJP rival Neil Antonio War by over 5,000 votes. Meghalaya Home minister and Congress candidate H Donkupar R Lyngdoh lost to Hill State People's Democratic Party (HSPDP) contestant Samlin Malngiang by 622 votes.12:38 PMThe BJP and its ally surged ahead of the Left Front in Tripura establishing a lead in 40 seats, while CPI(M), which is power for the last 25 years, was ahead in 19 seats, according to the trends available.
In Nagaland, the ruling Naga People's Front (NPF) was ahead in 26 constituencies. The BJP and its ally Nationalist Democratic Progressive Party (NDPP) were leading in 31 seats.
The Congress is leading in Meghalaya with 24 seats.
12:26 PMHere's what latest trends show for Northeast Assembly Election Results 2018
Tripura Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonBJP 40 0Left Front 19 0INC 0 0Others 0 0Nagaland Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonNDPP+BJP 31 0NPF 26 0INC 0 0Others 4 0


Meghalaya Assembly Elections 2018:
Parties Leads WonINC 24 0NPP 14 0Others 14 0BJP 7 0

Tuesday, 30 January 2018

No tax relief, spending spree due in last budget before elections: Poll

India is expected to unveil only modest stimulus at this week's budget, a Reuters poll of analysts showed, despite it being the last before the next election, with government spending likely limited by longer-term efforts to trim the fiscal deficit.
Fiscal consolidation was first proposed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) government in its maiden budget in fiscal 2014/15, aiming to break a long line of Indian governments that preferred to borrow and spend.
But in following budgets, the timeframe for reaching a reduction to a 3.0 percent fiscal deficit target was pushed back.
The latest Reuters poll shows the government is expected to delay the timeframe for hitting that target by another year, for the third year in a row, due to setbacks in the economic outlook.
The median forecast from over 40 economists polled Jan 24-29 was for India's government to borrow 3.2 percent of gross domestic product (GDP) in fiscal 2018-19.
"As the current government will present its last full-year budget before the 2019 general elections, many in the market expect a heavier dose of populism. However, the government has limited financial resources to propose any targeted scheme for the poor," wrote Gautam Duggad, head of research at Motilal Oswal Securities, in a research note.
"We also do not expect much relief on the tax front, except some reduction in the corporate tax rate for medium-sized companies."
The government's own economic survey presented to parliament on Monday suggested that pushing further out the fiscal deficit target would give the economy some momentum.
For the current fiscal year, the target is 3.2 percent and the government is unlikely to meet that as it has already overshot its full-year goal. With less than one quarter of the fiscal year left, the government is unlikely to meet its deficit target.
Three-quarters of the 40 economists polled, based in India, Singapore and Europe, said that fiscal consolidation is likely to be Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's dominant theme when he unveils his budget on Thursday.
Just under 10 percent of survey respondents said he will focus on boosting subsidies while about 18 percent expect a significant increase in borrowing and spending.
Among those expecting a more populist budget are economists that say the government will announce new subsidies, such as loan waivers for farmers, an increase in healthcare spending, a cut to taxes on fuel and a ramp up in rural housing schemes.
Some also said the focus on the potential budget provisions could address rising rural dissatisfaction shown by the increase in farmer protests and suicides across India.
"We expect India's upcoming Union Budget to focus extensively on the agriculture sector, especially given that the government has only one year left in its current term and will want to boost its popularity before the next election," noted Kunal Kundu, India economist at Societe Generale.
With the Reserve Bank of India holding interest rates for now, demand for fiscal stimulus has increased after the ban of high-value currency notes in November 2016 and the implementation of a goods and services tax (GST) last year.
The economy, which likely marked its weakest pace of growth in four years in fiscal year ending in March, is still recovering from those two measures.
Shilan Shah, senior India economist at Capital Economics, a consultancy, wrote in a note to clients that the government is unlikely to meet its deficit targets for this year and next.
India's economy is forecast to grow by 6.6 percent in the current fiscal year, which would be its weakest since before a new calculation was introduced in fiscal 2014-15, a Reuters poll of economists found earlier in January.
It is forecast to pick up to 7.3 percent in 2018-19.

Sunday, 21 January 2018

Office of profit case: Prez Kovind approves disqualification of 20 AAP MLAs

President Ram Nath Kovind on Sunday accepted the Election Commission's recommendation to disqualify 20 MLAs of Delhi's ruling Aam Aadmi Party for holding offices of profit.
A notification issued by the law ministry quoted the president as saying that in the light of the opinion expressed by the Election Commission (EC), the 20 members of the Delhi legislative assembly have been disqualified.
ALSO READ: Office of profit case: AAP seeks Prez's intervention; BJP, Cong smell blood
The AAP MLAs were appointed parliamentary secretaries and their appointment was described as them holding offices of profit by a petitioner.
In a blow to the AAP, the EC had on Friday asked the President to disqualify its 20 MLAs.
In its opinion sent to President Ram Nath Kovind, the Election Commission said by being parliamentary secretaries, they held office of profit and were liable to be disqualified as MLAs of the Delhi Assembly, highly placed sources said. (Click here to know what is office of profit)
The President is bound to go by the recommendation of the Commission.
In cases where petitions are made seeking disqualification of lawmakers, the President sends a reference to the EC, which decides on the case by sending back its opinion.
"... Having considered the matter in the light of the opinion expressed by the Election Commission, I, Ram Nath Kovind, president of India, in exercise of the powers...do here hold that the aforesaid 20 members of the Delhi legislative assembly stand disqualified from being members of the said assembly," the notification said.
All the 20 AAP MLAs had moved the Delhi High Court challenging the EC's recommendation but Justice Rekha Palli had refused to pass any interim order.
ALSO READ: President should hear our views as well: AAP on 20 MLAs' disqualification

Friday, 19 January 2018

Mid-term elections in Delhi? What does 20 AAP MLAs disqualification mean?

Does the disqualification of 20 Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) members of legislative Assembly (MLAs) by the Election Commission mean that there will be mid-term elections in Delhi? Actually, it means much more than that.
It brings into question the issue of ‘parliamentary secretaries’ and other such offices, including chairmanship of boards, and raises profound questions for the future, on loaves and fishes that are routinely distributed as largesse by governments (such as the AAP government in Delhi) which have large majorities and not enough ministerships to pass around to all their elected MLAs.
But first things first. AAP has 66 MLAs in the 70-member Delhi Assembly. So, it will not lose its majority even if 20 are disqualified. However, its majority gets narrower.
The Election Commission order ‘recommends’ disqualification of these MLAs because prior sanction of the Lieutenant Governor was not taken to create the position of a parliamentary secretary and the perks given to them were, therefore, illegal.
This is the nub of the problem. Is the post of parliamentary secretary an office of profit? When these MLAs were made parliamentary secretaries in 2015, were they occupying a position that constituted an office of profit? If so, should they have resigned before contesting elections?
The matter is being heard by the High Court – it is sub judice – so the Election Commission has merely recommended disqualification.
When the actual disqualification will take place depends on the outcome of the court hearing.
But think about it. If the position of parliamentary secretaries and chairmanship of boards, etc, is deemed an office of profit, MLAs in most state governments could be guilty of breaking the law.
AAP’s argument is that the parliamentary secretaries do not draw any salary; all they get are perks to facilitate their work – an office car, some secretarial assistance, etc.
However, the Supreme Court says all these perks constitute ‘profit’.
The central government – read home ministry/Lieutenant Governor (LG) – says “having no legal sanction” is based on the fact that there is no such post under the existing statute. Such appointments, if any, would require the prior sanction of the Lieutenant Governor, which was never taken. Besides, several Supreme Court judgments have clearly stated that an "office of profit" is deemed not by salary alone but by "perks", which in this case would be occupying office space in the Secretariat and availing of official cars. Whatever the case, the disqualification is sure to open up a pandora’s box of politics.

Saturday, 23 December 2017

Why the Congress will continue to lose elections

Before commencing any analysis of the Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh assembly elections, it is necessary to lay one ghost to rest. The Election Commission needs to be congratulated on having achieved 100% transparency in its conduct of the elections, and putting a verification procedure in place that will become the gold standard for the conduct of elections in the future. By doing this, it has lifted the darkest shadow that had been hanging over Indian democracy since allegations of possible fraud surfaced after the Punjab and UP assembly elections – a fear in the populace that it was in danger of being deprived of its last weapon for holding its rulers accountable for their misdeeds.

It is not surprising, therefore, that days after the BJP’s victories in Gujarat and Himachal, celebrations are still going on at the BJP headquarters in Delhi and various regional capitals while, in sharp contrast, the Congress has begun to look for scapegoats to pin its defeat upon. Congress former minister Veerappa Moily has led the charge by singling out Mani Shankar Aiyar and Kapil Sibal as the prime architects of its defeat. “Of course, these two statements, by Kapil Sibal (on the Ram mandir) and Mani Shankar Aiyar (on Prime Minister Narendra Modi being a “Neech kisam ka aadmi“) have harmed the party,” he said, because they have allowed Modi to take “maximum advantage” of them. Had it not been for these two statements, Rahul Gandhi’s spectacular performance in the campaign in Gujarat would have yielded victory, he added.

Congress spokespersons have brushed off their defeat in Himachal Pradesh as a typical anti-incumbency vote. They have not asked themselves why anti-incumbency should have raised its head against the Congress after a single five-year term in Himachal, but not against the BJP after five consecutive five-year terms in office in Gujarat. The short answer to this question is the disheartening contrast between Modi’s ruthless will to win at any cost and Rahul’s tepid, fumbling leadership being passed off as ‘gentlemanliness’.

Moily has been joined in this by Rajasthan ex-chief minister Ashok Gehlot. Soon others will join in, and with every word they speak they will dig the Congress’s grave a little deeper. Indeed, the BJP’s spokespersons have already seized upon Moily and Gehlot’s attacks on the ‘rebel duo’ as attempts to save a leader who cannot save himself and is therefore unfit to lead a nation.

Taking responsibility

The contrast is all the more striking because in three and a half years of ruling India, Modi has never admitted that he has made a single mistake. His almost-daily statements during these years offer a chronicle of colossal policy blunders and unfulfilled promises. Modi promised a return to high growth – ‘achhe din‘ – but only statistical legerdemain has allowed him to hide the fact that GDP growth in the April to June quarter of the current year has been lower than at any time since 2001.

No such hiding has been possible, however, with industrial growth – which has continued to sink beyond the abysmal level it had reached in the last two years of UPA’s rule. Even with the vamped-up data, it is now below 3%.

Modi promised the youth ten million jobs a year, and has failed to create even one million. Jobs created in eight labour-intensive industries, which can be taken as a proxy for the rest of the economy, fell from 9.3 lakh in 2011 to 1.35 lakh in 2016.

Modi promised to revive industry but has speeded its descent into bankruptcy. He promised to destroy black money through demonetisation but unearthed less than 1% of it. Instead, he destroyed at least 300,000 small industries in the unorganised sector, sent the construction industry into a coma and forced tens of millions of migrant workers to flee the suddenly jobless towns and start making desperate bids to enrol themselves in MGNREGA in their home villages.

He carried through the UPA’s plan to consolidate all central and state indirect taxes into a single Goods and Services Tax but bungled it so badly that he pushed unorganised industry and trade to the edge of bankruptcy.

But there is one thing Modi has not done: he has never admitted that anything he or his government had done was wrong. He has never backtracked; he has never shifted blame; he has never said ‘sorry’.

He could have easily blamed Arun Jaitley for the poor economic performance, Suresh Prabhu for the huge rise in train accidents, Rajnath Singh for the return to civil war in Kashmir. He could have ‘let it be known’ that the bureaucracy was responsible for the failure of the Swachh Bharat and Make in India programmes, the dilatoriness of the judiciary for the paltry rise in India’s ease of doing business ranking and the RBI for the rising volume of abandoned infrastructure projects.

Modi has not done even one of these things. Instead, he has taken full responsibility for everything he has done, and has told the people that he has taken these hard decisions, fully knowing the pain they would inflict, for their own long-term good. The small intelligentsia of this country, which understands the truth behind this facade, has dismissed Modi’s tall claims as theatre. Mystified by his continuing popularity, they have taken refuge in that old, old adage: “You can fool all the people for some of the time; some of the people for all the time, but not all the people for all of the time.”

But the people have chosen to believe him. This is not because they have been taken in by Modi’s inflated rhetoric, but because they have chosen to forgive him. What they are seeing in him is an unflinching loyalty to his subordinates. And they recognise this as the hallmark of a born leader.

Not a fighter

Compare this to the way Rahul and the Congress party have treated Aiyar and Sibal, both of whom were cabinet ministers in Manmohan Singh’s government. When Modi twisted Aiyar’s remark into a caste slur, he did not counterattack by exposing Modi’s misrepresentation (to use a word that fits into the Congress’s heritage). Nor did he remind Gujaratis that both B.R. Ambedkar and Jagjivan Ram were members of the Congress party; that it was the Congress that had made SC/ST reservation a part of the constitution and that it was the Congress that had put up a Dalit, Meira Kumar, to be the president of India last June. Instead, he went into a blind panic, hastened to distance himself and the Congress from Aiyar, and then asked him to apologise to Modi.

The lesson that Gujarat, and one suspects India, learned was not that Rahul is a gentleman, but that he is not a fighter. Not only will he not defend his foot soldiers on the battlefield, but he is also far more likely to cut and run at the first whiff of grapeshot. The contrast between him and Modi could not, therefore, be more stark.

Not surprisingly, Modi was the first person to sense this. That is why he made Aiyar the single point focus of every speech during the rest of his campaign, accusing him of going to Pakistan to take a supari (contract) for arranging Modi’s assassination; of hosting a “secret” dinner for Pakistani officials to meet high-ranking Indian leaders, including the former prime minister and vice president of India; and so on ad nauseam.

He did this because he knew that, having thrown Aiyar to the wolves, the Congress could only sit and watch as he and other BJP leaders savaged him into pieces till there was nothing left of him to tear into bits. Modi knew, moreover, that every time he mentioned Aiyar, his audiences would think: Congress, thus the appeasement of Pakistan and therefore appeasement of Muslims in general. So he threw truth, decorum and constitutional propriety to the winds and went for the Congress’s jugular, while Rahul and his sycophantic advisers stood on the sidelines and watched.

Rahul’s lack of leadership qualities is the real reason why the Congress lost in Gujarat. In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP’s share of the vote had risen to a mammoth 60%, from 48% only two years before, because Congress voters simply did not cast their vote. As a result, Gujarat recorded the fifth-lowest voter turnout, at 63.7%, in 2014. This was 7.6% below the turnout in 2012.

This year, both the Congress and the BJP’s share of the vote reverted to more or less what they had been in 2012, but its distribution was hugely different. The voting pattern shows that there was a huge anti-incumbency surge in Saurashtra and a smaller one in north and central Gujarat. Only in Bhuj, and south Gujarat, did the BJP vote remain utterly unshaken.

But the voting pattern also shows that the revival of the Congress vote remained incomplete, for inspite of the large anti-incumbency sentiment revealed by the pattern of victories and defeats, only 4.7% of the 7.6% who had boycotted the polls in 2014 returned to vote. Had even a small fraction of the rest done so, it is possible that the BJP would have lost its majority, for the BJP scraped through to a victory in nine constituencies in north and central Gujarat, and seven in Saurashtra, with margins of 5,000 or fewer votes. Nine of these were won with less than 2,000 votes. It is these seats that could have gone to the Congress, had the voters fully regained their confidence in the Congress.

The targeting of Aiyar occurred so late in the campaign – when the first phase of voting was already over – that it is impossible to tell how much it affected the morale of anti-BJP voters and dissuaded them from going out and being counted. But it could hardly have raised it, or reinforced their confidence in Rahul’s capacity to lead the nation.

That is why “seasoned leaders” like Moily and Gehlot have been pulled out of mothballs to defend Rahul’s ‘gentlemanly’ behaviour. But these are has-beens whose names have not even been heard in the past year. What Rahul needs to learn from is the silence of the leaders who have been most active in bringing the Congress back into the media limelight, such as P. Chidambaram, Sibal, Manish Tiwari, Jyotiraditya Scindia, Sachin Pilot and Shashi Tharoor. They know the damage, tantamount to suicide, that Rahul and his cronies have inflicted not only on the Congress but also on India. Because after his tame acquiescence to Modi’s destruction of him through the instrumentality of Aiyar, there is once more no leader visible on the ‘secular’ horizon, who can make ordinary Indians feel safe as Modi has managed to do.